Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001501 0.001593 0.001687 0.001792 0.001906 0.002024 0.002158
2025-03-02 0.001330 0.001455 0.001588 0.001742 0.001915 0.002105 0.002328
2025-03-09 0.001217 0.001361 0.001521 0.001710 0.001931 0.002179 0.002483
2025-03-16 0.001145 0.001305 0.001486 0.001707 0.001970 0.002276 0.002662
2025-03-23 0.001078 0.001249 0.001445 0.001689 0.001987 0.002342 0.002802
2025-03-30 0.001027 0.001206 0.001416 0.001682 0.002013 0.002417 0.002954
2025-04-06 0.000975 0.001158 0.001377 0.001658 0.002016 0.002461 0.003065
2025-04-13 0.000927 0.001113 0.001337 0.001632 0.002012 0.002493 0.003160
2025-04-20 0.000869 0.001053 0.001278 0.001576 0.001966 0.002468 0.003177
2025-04-27 0.000849 0.001039 0.001274 0.001591 0.002012 0.002563 0.003358
2025-05-04 0.000838 0.001036 0.001284 0.001622 0.002080 0.002691 0.003589
2025-05-11 0.000833 0.001040 0.001303 0.001666 0.002167 0.002846 0.003866
2025-05-18 0.000804 0.001013 0.001282 0.001660 0.002188 0.002918 0.004040
2025-05-25 0.000762 0.000969 0.001237 0.001618 0.002159 0.002919 0.004108
2025-06-01 0.000729 0.000934 0.001203 0.001590 0.002148 0.002944 0.004213
2025-06-08 0.000707 0.000914 0.001188 0.001587 0.002171 0.003019 0.004400
2025-06-15 0.000682 0.000888 0.001164 0.001571 0.002173 0.003063 0.004537
2025-06-22 0.000662 0.000868 0.001148 0.001564 0.002190 0.003127 0.004712
2025-06-29 0.000638 0.000843 0.001122 0.001543 0.002182 0.003155 0.004827
2025-07-06 0.000615 0.000817 0.001095 0.001519 0.002169 0.003171 0.004922
2025-07-13 0.000585 0.000780 0.001052 0.001468 0.002112 0.003115 0.004892
2025-07-20 0.000576 0.000774 0.001052 0.001481 0.002156 0.003223 0.005150
2025-07-27 0.000572 0.000775 0.001061 0.001510 0.002225 0.003376 0.005499